Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.392797 0.462426 0.538954 0.629058 0.731977 0.845597 0.980245
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.283026 0.374300 0.484728 0.627051 0.804384 1.016731 1.288774
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.217857 0.318733 0.451217 0.635343 0.881574 1.196100 1.624259
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.171356 0.274471 0.420095 0.636137 0.942910 1.356417 1.947987
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.131884 0.230214 0.378850 0.613000 0.963974 1.460195 2.201647
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.112788 0.212047 0.371043 0.634431 1.047265 1.654062 2.592999
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096690 0.195012 0.361292 0.649829 1.120836 1.837737 2.982106
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087894 0.188614 0.367222 0.689796 1.234903 2.089366 3.489241
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.074133 0.170102 0.349134 0.686415 1.277327 2.232179 3.838757
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.062029 0.152163 0.328934 0.675934 1.305380 2.352417 4.159065
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.052518 0.137460 0.312248 0.668996 1.337569 2.480060 4.497773
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.046474 0.129019 0.306374 0.681127 1.403888 2.668362 4.946970
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040556 0.119798 0.297905 0.687950 1.462584 2.850511 5.402891
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.035127 0.110536 0.287906 0.690441 1.513369 3.022679 5.853720
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.031052 0.103777 0.282324 0.701228 1.580842 3.229052 6.376876
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026983 0.095997 0.273058 0.702759 1.629699 3.404222 6.854622
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.022134 0.084604 0.253084 0.677765 1.621738 3.472101 7.141439
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.020303 0.081904 0.254326 0.701240 1.716578 3.741214 7.813454
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018381 0.078393 0.252867 0.718072 1.798454 3.990019 8.460678
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017679 0.078835 0.262077 0.761661 1.942013 4.368514 9.372903
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.015359 0.072898 0.252659 0.757982 1.980257 4.538866 9.894411
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.013124 0.066533 0.240831 0.746558 1.999639 4.671629 10.349175
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.011317 0.061200 0.231028 0.738995 2.026843 4.821419 10.844140